ABSTRACT This case study, using a regional climate model (RegCM-4.7) in high horizontal resolution, allowed to obtain information on the intensity of the average vertical wind profile over the Alcântara Launch Center (ALC), Brazil. In the literature, on the wind intensity, the lack of continuous monitoring of the existence of flows in the vertical profile of the wind at heights of 400 to 600 m and the measurement of its magnitude make it possible to have an estimate lower than what can occur in reality at a low level in the region for operational purposes for the rocket launch. Therefore, this works results points to an intraseasonal variability of the wind intensity with maximum winds of the order of 14 to 20 m·s-1 in the core wind intensity at heights of 600 m, corresponding to pressure levels of the order of 930 hPa, in August, September and October 2020. These intensity values should be further studied with the use of observation equipment such as sound detection and ranging (SODAR) in the continuation of this research, in moment future, as well; the global models of reanalysis have low resolution and are not suitable for comparisons.

ABSTRACT: Using the 1951-2017 historical series of the Atlantic Meridional Mode (AMM) index and the monthly number of sunspots, it was possible to observe a significant association between them. The use of wavelet and cross-wavelet analysis showed the presence of multidecadal cycles pronounced in eleven years, as well as cycles of 2.66 and 5.33. AMM index showed, in the part of the Sea Surface Temperature (SST), the presence of a weak signal of 21.33 years. Influence and association of sunspot variability on surface temperature in Northern and Northeastern regions of Brazil were investigated. Using a non-parametric statistical correlation test, the historical series of surface temperature anomalies in five locations (Belém, São Luiz, Fortaleza, Fernando de Noronha, and Natal) were compared with the monthly solar-series anomalies. The temperature series used were the minimum monthly average, the monthly average, and maximum monthly average temperatures, with their respective anomalies in relation to the mean. However, among all the series (except for São Luiz), the analyzed minimum temperature anomalies showed a negative correlation with sunspots. As a preliminary result, the analyzed climatic indexes present an apparent degree of memory associated with the variability of sunspot activity.

ABSTRACT: The sensitivity of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterizations is investigated using the hybrid Fifth Generation Penn State University/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5) and its results were compared with observations from two field campaigns held during the dry and wet seasons at the Centro de Lançamento de Alcântara (CLA). The comparisons were made using the integrated zonal and meridional components of observed and forecasted winds. Initially, three boundary layer parameterizations, in addition to the current parameterization, were selected for evaluation: Blackadar (BLK), Medium Range Forecast (MRF), Janjic (ETA) and Burk-Thompson (BT). The MRF and BLK schemes produced better results than the ETA and BT schemes. Nevertheless, MRF and BLK underestimate the zonal and meridional wind components by around 16% in the rainy season and overestimate them by on average 18% in the dry season.